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Shutdown brinkmanship
Confidence 5/5
★★★★☆Fuckup rating 4/5
Serious fuckup
The government shutdown fight was still careening toward a Christmas collision on December 17, with no serious sign the White House had a workable exit. Trump had already embraced the fight over border-wall money, and the administration’s posture left Congress, federal agencies, and the public staring at a deadline that could turn into a broader shutdown if he kept vetoing stopgap deals. The political problem for Trump was not just that Democrats were refusing to bankroll the wall; it was that the president had now tied his own legitimacy to a fight he had not figured out how to win.
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Story
Cohen paper trail
Confidence 4/5
★★★★☆Fuckup rating 4/5
Serious fuckup
On December 17, prosecutors in Michael Cohen’s case filed a sentencing memo that kept the president’s name squarely in the criminal-court conversation. The filing did not charge Trump, but it described Cohen as having acted at the direction of a presidential candidate in the campaign-finance scheme, which was a brutal reminder that the president’s old fixer was now a government witness with a file full of ugly details. For Trumpworld, the embarrassment was obvious: the legal cloud around Cohen was no longer just about Cohen.
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