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Ukraine residue
Confidence 4/5
★★★★☆Fuckup rating 4/5
Serious fuckup
On January 6, the Senate trial over Trump’s Ukraine conduct was barreling toward Washington, and the White House still had no convincing public answer for why aid was held up in the first place. The administration’s defense depended on denial, distraction, and procedural stalling, which is not the same thing as clearing the president.
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Story
Iran blowback
Confidence 4/5
★★★★☆Fuckup rating 4/5
Serious fuckup
By January 6, the White House was still trying to frame the killing of Qassem Soleimani as a clean act of deterrence. The visible reality was a rapidly escalating crisis: Iran was promising revenge, U.S. allies were rattled, and the administration was forced onto the defensive over whether it had a real strategy beyond hoping the shock would do the work for it.
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